Stock Analysis

Hanil Iron & Steel (KRX:002220) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

KOSE:A002220
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Hanil Iron & Steel Co., Ltd (KRX:002220) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Hanil Iron & Steel

How Much Debt Does Hanil Iron & Steel Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Hanil Iron & Steel had ₩108.0b of debt, an increase on ₩101.8b, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₩25.4b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩82.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A002220 Debt to Equity History November 14th 2024

How Healthy Is Hanil Iron & Steel's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hanil Iron & Steel had liabilities of ₩130.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩36.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₩25.4b in cash and ₩31.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩110.0b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩46.4b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Hanil Iron & Steel would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hanil Iron & Steel shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (14.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.15 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Hanil Iron & Steel saw its EBIT tank 79% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hanil Iron & Steel will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Hanil Iron & Steel created free cash flow amounting to 12% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Hanil Iron & Steel's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. It looks to us like Hanil Iron & Steel carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Hanil Iron & Steel you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hanil Iron & Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.