Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Wonil Special Steel (KOSDAQ:012620) Is Using Debt Extensively

KOSDAQ:A012620
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Wonil Special Steel Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:012620) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Wonil Special Steel

How Much Debt Does Wonil Special Steel Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Wonil Special Steel had ₩85.6b of debt, an increase on ₩80.9b, over one year. However, it does have ₩32.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩52.7b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A012620 Debt to Equity History May 5th 2021

A Look At Wonil Special Steel's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Wonil Special Steel had liabilities of ₩89.4b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩23.0b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩32.9b as well as receivables valued at ₩79.4b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

Having regard to Wonil Special Steel's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the ₩53.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Wonil Special Steel shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.1 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Wonil Special Steel's EBIT was down 75% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Wonil Special Steel's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Wonil Special Steel reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Wonil Special Steel's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Wonil Special Steel's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Wonil Special Steel (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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