Stock Analysis

Is Dongjin Semichem (KOSDAQ:005290) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A005290
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Dongjin Semichem Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:005290) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Dongjin Semichem

How Much Debt Does Dongjin Semichem Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Dongjin Semichem had debt of ₩618.9b, up from ₩458.1b in one year. However, it also had ₩377.9b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩241.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A005290 Debt to Equity History June 25th 2024

A Look At Dongjin Semichem's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Dongjin Semichem had liabilities of ₩545.2b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩281.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩377.9b in cash and ₩246.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩201.5b.

Of course, Dongjin Semichem has a market capitalization of ₩2.02t, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Dongjin Semichem's net debt is only 1.0 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Dongjin Semichem's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 22% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Dongjin Semichem will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Dongjin Semichem recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

While Dongjin Semichem's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. But at least its interest cover is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Dongjin Semichem is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Dongjin Semichem that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.