Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Hankook Cosmetics Co., Ltd.'s (KRX:123690) Massive 36% Price Jump

KOSE:A123690
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Hankook Cosmetics Co., Ltd. (KRX:123690) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 28% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Korea have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Hankook Cosmetics as a stock to avoid entirely with its 42.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Hankook Cosmetics has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Hankook Cosmetics

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KOSE:A123690 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hankook Cosmetics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Hankook Cosmetics' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 488% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 30% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hankook Cosmetics' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Hankook Cosmetics' P/E

Hankook Cosmetics' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Hankook Cosmetics revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hankook Cosmetics that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hankook Cosmetics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hankook Cosmetics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.