Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd. (KRX:101530) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd
How Much Debt Does Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd had ₩232.1b of debt in December 2023, down from ₩244.3b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩11.2b, its net debt is less, at about ₩220.8b.
How Healthy Is Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd had liabilities of ₩250.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩166.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩11.2b and ₩74.5b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩331.0b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₩161.8b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.8 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Looking on the bright side, Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd boosted its EBIT by a silky 97% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A101530
Haitai Confectionery&Foodsltd
Produces and sells snack food products in Northeast Asia.
Solid track record and good value.