Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies NongShim Holdings Co.,Ltd. (KRX:072710) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is NongShim HoldingsLtd's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NongShim HoldingsLtd had debt of ₩93.0b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₩134.4b over a year. On the flip side, it has ₩30.4b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩62.6b.
How Healthy Is NongShim HoldingsLtd's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, NongShim HoldingsLtd had liabilities of ₩258.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩48.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩30.4b as well as receivables valued at ₩114.4b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩162.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
NongShim HoldingsLtd has a market capitalization of ₩347.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
NongShim HoldingsLtd's net debt is only 0.79 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 41.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that NongShim HoldingsLtd has boosted its EBIT by 66%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NongShim HoldingsLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, NongShim HoldingsLtd's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
The good news is that NongShim HoldingsLtd's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. All these things considered, it appears that NongShim HoldingsLtd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for NongShim HoldingsLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About KOSE:A072710
Nongshim HoldingsLtd
Manufactures, imports, exports, and sells food products and consumer goods in South Korea, China, the United Stated, Canada, Japan, Australia, and Vietnam.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.