If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at KT&G (KRX:033780) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for KT&G:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = ₩1.2t ÷ (₩14t - ₩2.9t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, KT&G has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty standard return but compared to the Tobacco industry average it falls behind.
Check out our latest analysis for KT&G
Above you can see how the current ROCE for KT&G compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for KT&G .
So How Is KT&G's ROCE Trending?
In terms of KT&G's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 11% from 16% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Bottom Line
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by KT&G's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 43% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
KT&G could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for A033780 on our platform quite valuable.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A033780
KT&G
Engages in the production, distribution, and sale of tobacco products in South Korea, Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.