Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Wooyang Co. Ltd (KOSDAQ:103840) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Wooyang
What Is Wooyang's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Wooyang had ₩49.4b of debt, an increase on ₩41.3b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩1.47b, its net debt is less, at about ₩48.0b.
How Healthy Is Wooyang's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Wooyang had liabilities of ₩53.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩27.1b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩1.47b in cash and ₩11.7b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩67.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩77.9b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Wooyang's debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.2 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that Wooyang grew its EBIT a smooth 67% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Wooyang's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Wooyang burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Mulling over Wooyang's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Wooyang's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Wooyang you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KOSDAQ:A103840
Moderate and slightly overvalued.