Stock Analysis

Is GS Retail (KRX:007070) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSE:A007070
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that GS Retail Co., Ltd. (KRX:007070) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for GS Retail

How Much Debt Does GS Retail Carry?

As you can see below, GS Retail had ₩1.01t of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩291.7b, its net debt is less, at about ₩723.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A007070 Debt to Equity History March 24th 2021

How Strong Is GS Retail's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GS Retail had liabilities of ₩1.68t falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩2.83t due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩291.7b in cash and ₩347.7b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩3.87t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₩2.94t market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

GS Retail has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.78. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 24.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that GS Retail has increased its EBIT by 5.4% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine GS Retail's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, GS Retail actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

GS Retail's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. But truth be told its level of total liabilities had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about GS Retail's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for GS Retail that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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