Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT Co., Ltd (KRX:002450) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT
What Is SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT had debt of ₩342.9b, up from ₩309.7b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩71.7b, its net debt is less, at about ₩271.2b.
How Healthy Is SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT had liabilities of ₩242.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩166.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩71.7b as well as receivables valued at ₩32.8b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩304.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₩132.8b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 1.8 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.9 hit our confidence in SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT's EBIT was down 33% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
On the face of it, SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow fails to inspire much confidence. It looks to us like SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KOSE:A002450
SAMICK MUSICAL INSTRUMENT
Together with subsidiaries, manufactures, and sells musical instruments in South Korea.
Excellent balance sheet slight.