Stock Analysis

Here's Why Hanshin Machinery (KRX:011700) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

KOSE:A011700
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Hanshin Machinery Co., Ltd. (KRX:011700) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hanshin Machinery

What Is Hanshin Machinery's Debt?

As you can see below, Hanshin Machinery had ₩1.72b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have ₩19.7b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₩18.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A011700 Debt to Equity History December 14th 2020

How Strong Is Hanshin Machinery's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hanshin Machinery had liabilities of ₩7.64b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩2.71b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩19.7b as well as receivables valued at ₩24.2b due within 12 months. So it actually has ₩33.6b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Hanshin Machinery's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Hanshin Machinery has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

But the other side of the story is that Hanshin Machinery saw its EBIT decline by 7.3% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Hanshin Machinery's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Hanshin Machinery may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Hanshin Machinery saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hanshin Machinery has net cash of ₩18.0b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Hanshin Machinery's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Hanshin Machinery you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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