Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Abpro Bio Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:195990) Is Unlikely

KOSDAQ:A195990
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When close to half the companies in the Machinery industry in Korea have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider Abpro Bio Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:195990) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Abpro Bio

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A195990 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 12th 2024

What Does Abpro Bio's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Abpro Bio over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Abpro Bio's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Abpro Bio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Abpro Bio's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.1% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 47% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 33% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Abpro Bio's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Abpro Bio revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Abpro Bio, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.