Stock Analysis

Here's Why HS Valve (KOSDAQ:039610) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KOSDAQ:A039610
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, HS Valve Co., Ltd (KOSDAQ:039610) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does HS Valve Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 HS Valve had ₩18.5b of debt, an increase on ₩14.0b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩12.5b, its net debt is less, at about ₩6.02b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A039610 Debt to Equity History February 15th 2021

A Look At HS Valve's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HS Valve had liabilities of ₩17.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩10.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩12.5b in cash and ₩17.2b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₩2.16b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that HS Valve has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that HS Valve's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.8), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 25.5 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Shareholders should be aware that HS Valve's EBIT was down 50% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is HS Valve's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, HS Valve burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

HS Valve's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that HS Valve is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with HS Valve .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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