Stock Analysis

We Think Hankook Tire & Technology (KRX:161390) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

KOSE:A161390
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Hankook Tire & Technology Co., Ltd. (KRX:161390) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hankook Tire & Technology

What Is Hankook Tire & Technology's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Hankook Tire & Technology had ₩1.64t of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have ₩1.46t in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩180.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A161390 Debt to Equity History December 18th 2020

A Look At Hankook Tire & Technology's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hankook Tire & Technology had liabilities of ₩1.93t due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩1.53t due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩1.46t and ₩1.39t worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩606.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Hankook Tire & Technology has a market capitalization of ₩4.85t, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hankook Tire & Technology has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.15. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.1 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the bad news is that Hankook Tire & Technology has seen its EBIT plunge 10% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hankook Tire & Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hankook Tire & Technology actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that Hankook Tire & Technology's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its EBIT growth rate has the opposite effect. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Hankook Tire & Technology takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hankook Tire & Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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