Stock Analysis

A great week that adds to Tokyu Corporation's (TSE:9005) one-year returns, institutional investors who own 55% must be happy

TSE:9005
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Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Tokyu's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • 50% of the business is held by the top 17 shareholders
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

Every investor in Tokyu Corporation (TSE:9005) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 55% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And things are looking up for institutional investors after the company gained JP¥58b in market cap last week. The gains from last week would have further boosted the one-year return to shareholders which currently stand at 3.1%.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Tokyu.

View our latest analysis for Tokyu

ownership-breakdown
TSE:9005 Ownership Breakdown January 31st 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Tokyu?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Tokyu. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Tokyu, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:9005 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 31st 2025

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Tokyu is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is BlackRock, Inc., with ownership of 6.7%. Ossiam is the second largest shareholder owning 6.2% of common stock, and Nissay Asset Management Corporation holds about 4.0% of the company stock.

Looking at the shareholder registry, we can see that 50% of the ownership is controlled by the top 17 shareholders, meaning that no single shareholder has a majority interest in the ownership.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Tokyu

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Tokyu Corporation in their own names. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own JP¥507m worth of shares. It is good to see board members owning shares, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 45% stake in Tokyu. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Tokyu better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tokyu that you should be aware of.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tokyu might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:9005

Tokyu

Engages in the transportation, real estate, life services, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally.

Solid track record and fair value.

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