Tokyu Corporation

TSE:9005 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.1t

Tokyu Valuation

Is 9005 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9005 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9005 (¥1881.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥318.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9005 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9005?

Key metric: As 9005 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9005. This is calculated by dividing 9005's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9005's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.4x
EarningsJP¥78.20b
Market CapJP¥1.14t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9005's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9005 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
9024 Seibu Holdings
12.1x-44.1%JP¥926.5b
9023 Tokyo Metro
18.7xn/aJP¥987.7b
9042 Hankyu Hanshin Holdings
12.8x4.4%JP¥941.2b
9021 West Japan Railway
12.8x3.6%JP¥1.3t
9005 Tokyu
14.4x-1.1%JP¥1.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9005 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9005's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9005 14.4xIndustry Avg. 11.0xNo. of Companies7PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9005 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the JP Transportation industry average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9005's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9005 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.4x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9005 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9005 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,881.50
JP¥2,000.00
+6.3%
11.4%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥1,871.00
JP¥1,980.00
+5.8%
9.8%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥1,832.50
JP¥2,025.00
+10.5%
9.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥1,782.50
JP¥2,000.00
+12.2%
7.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥1,772.50
JP¥2,000.00
+12.8%
7.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥1,744.50
JP¥2,000.00
+14.6%
7.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥1,835.00
JP¥2,054.00
+11.9%
4.8%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,900.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥1,851.00
JP¥2,054.00
+11.0%
4.8%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,900.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥1,846.50
JP¥2,074.00
+12.3%
6.3%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,900.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥1,922.00
JP¥2,084.00
+8.4%
6.3%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,900.00n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥1,729.50
JP¥1,938.00
+12.1%
8.9%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,670.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥1,721.00
JP¥1,948.00
+13.2%
8.5%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,670.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥1,729.00
JP¥1,928.00
+11.5%
7.9%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,670.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥1,719.00
JP¥1,955.00
+13.7%
9.7%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,670.00JP¥1,871.006
Oct ’24JP¥1,724.00
JP¥1,955.00
+13.4%
9.7%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,670.00JP¥1,832.506
Sep ’24JP¥1,856.00
JP¥1,955.00
+5.3%
9.7%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,670.00JP¥1,782.506
Aug ’24JP¥1,832.00
JP¥1,898.33
+3.6%
11.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,570.00JP¥1,772.506
Jul ’24JP¥1,734.50
JP¥1,858.00
+7.1%
11.7%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,570.00JP¥1,744.505
Jun ’24JP¥1,796.00
JP¥1,865.00
+3.8%
10.7%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,570.00JP¥1,835.006
May ’24JP¥1,949.00
JP¥1,865.00
-4.3%
10.7%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,570.00JP¥1,851.006
Apr ’24JP¥1,762.00
JP¥1,865.00
+5.8%
10.7%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,570.00JP¥1,846.506
Mar ’24JP¥1,650.00
JP¥1,881.67
+14.0%
11.7%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,570.00JP¥1,922.006
Feb ’24JP¥1,631.00
JP¥1,873.33
+14.9%
12.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,520.00JP¥1,729.506
Jan ’24JP¥1,663.00
JP¥1,861.67
+11.9%
12.7%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,520.00JP¥1,721.006
Dec ’23JP¥1,708.00
JP¥1,836.67
+7.5%
12.0%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,520.00JP¥1,729.006
Nov ’23JP¥1,724.00
JP¥1,850.00
+7.3%
10.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,719.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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