Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Sun-Wa Technos' (TSE:8137) Soft Earnings

TSE:8137
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Sun-Wa Technos Corporation's (TSE:8137) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

Check out our latest analysis for Sun-Wa Technos

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:8137 Earnings and Revenue History November 21st 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Sun-Wa Technos' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to September 2024, Sun-Wa Technos had an accrual ratio of -0.18. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of JP¥11b, well over the JP¥3.20b it reported in profit. Given that Sun-Wa Technos had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of JP¥11b would seem to be a step in the right direction. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sun-Wa Technos.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Sun-Wa Technos' profit was boosted by unusual items worth JP¥311m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Sun-Wa Technos' Profit Performance

Sun-Wa Technos' profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Sun-Wa Technos' profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. If you want to do dive deeper into Sun-Wa Technos, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Sun-Wa Technos.

Our examination of Sun-Wa Technos has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.