Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Almedio Inc. (TSE:7859) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Almedio
What Is Almedio's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Almedio had JP¥557.0m of debt in June 2024, down from JP¥773.0m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥3.57b in cash, so it actually has JP¥3.01b net cash.
How Strong Is Almedio's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Almedio had liabilities of JP¥2.15b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥442.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥3.57b and JP¥4.12b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast JP¥5.09b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that Almedio's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, Almedio boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Better yet, Almedio grew its EBIT by 578% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Almedio will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Almedio has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Almedio created free cash flow amounting to 12% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Almedio has JP¥3.01b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 578% over the last year. So is Almedio's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Almedio is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7859
Almedio
Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of test tapes and test discs in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.