There's Reason For Concern Over Sharing Innovations Inc.'s (TSE:4178) Massive 28% Price Jump
The Sharing Innovations Inc. (TSE:4178) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Sharing Innovations as a stock to avoid entirely with its 24.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Sharing Innovations. Read for free now.Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sharing Innovations as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Sharing Innovations
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Sharing Innovations' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 303% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 44% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.5% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sharing Innovations' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Sharing Innovations' P/E?
Sharing Innovations' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Sharing Innovations revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Sharing Innovations has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4178
Sharing Innovations
Operates in the digital transformation and platform businesses in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.
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