Stock Analysis

Is Rakus Co., Ltd. (TSE:3923) Potentially Undervalued?

TSE:3923
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Rakus Co., Ltd. (TSE:3923), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the TSE over the last few months. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Rakus’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Rakus

What's The Opportunity In Rakus?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 19.25% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Rakus today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is ¥1646.54, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Rakus’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Rakus generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:3923 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 1st 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Rakus' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? 3923’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 3923, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Rakus has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.