Stock Analysis

Despite the downward trend in earnings at NTT Data Intramart (TSE:3850) the stock pops 22%, bringing three-year gains to 145%

TSE:3850
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The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. To wit, the NTT Data Intramart Corporation (TSE:3850) share price has flown 133% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. And in the last month, the share price has gained 27%. But the price may well have benefitted from a buoyant market, since stocks have gained 17% in the last thirty days.

Since the stock has added JP¥2.7b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

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While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years of share price growth, NTT Data Intramart actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 15% per year.

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.

Languishing at just 1.1%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. It may well be that NTT Data Intramart revenue growth rate of 14% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:3850 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 8th 2025

We know that NTT Data Intramart has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling NTT Data Intramart stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for NTT Data Intramart the TSR over the last 3 years was 145%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that NTT Data Intramart has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 64% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 0.6% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how NTT Data Intramart scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.