Stock Analysis

Tokyo Electron (TSE:8035) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Tokyo Electron Limited (TSE:8035) has announced that on 8th of December, it will be paying a dividend of¥245.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. This means the annual payment is 2.2% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

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Tokyo Electron's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Tokyo Electron was earning enough to cover the previous dividend, but it was paying out quite a large proportion of its free cash flows. The company is clearly earning enough to pay this type of dividend, but it is definitely focused on returning cash to shareholders, rather than growing the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 10.4%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 53% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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TSE:8035 Historic Dividend August 4th 2025

Check out our latest analysis for Tokyo Electron

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥13.33, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥485.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 43% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Tokyo Electron has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 21% per annum. Tokyo Electron is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.

In Summary

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Tokyo Electron has been making. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tokyo Electron that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Tokyo Electron not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tokyo Electron might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.