Stock Analysis

Furuya Metal's (TSE:7826) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

TSE:7826
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Furuya Metal Co., Ltd. (TSE:7826) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 11th of September to ¥256.00. This makes the dividend yield 2.5%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Furuya Metal

Furuya Metal's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Furuya Metal's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 54.0%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 25% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
TSE:7826 Historic Dividend February 27th 2024

Furuya Metal Is Still Building Its Track Record

Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from ¥70.00 total annually to ¥256.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 24% a year over that time. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Furuya Metal has impressed us by growing EPS at 16% per year over the past five years. Furuya Metal definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.

An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 17% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Regularly doing this can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.

Our Thoughts On Furuya Metal's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Furuya Metal's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Furuya Metal that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.