Kokusai Electric Corporation's (TSE:6525) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 32% Share Price Bounce
Those holding Kokusai Electric Corporation (TSE:6525) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 32% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Kokusai Electric as a stock to avoid entirely with its 19.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Kokusai Electric has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Kokusai Electric
Is There Enough Growth For Kokusai Electric?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kokusai Electric would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 60% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 31% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.5% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kokusai Electric's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Kokusai Electric have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Kokusai Electric's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Kokusai Electric that you need to take into consideration.
You might be able to find a better investment than Kokusai Electric. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kokusai Electric might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.