Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise TOWA Corporation's (TSE:6315) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher

TSE:6315
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TOWA Corporation (TSE:6315) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 549% gain over the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, TOWA may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 52.2x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

TOWA hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for TOWA

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6315 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on TOWA will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as TOWA's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 142% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 34% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why TOWA is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in TOWA have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that TOWA maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - TOWA has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than TOWA. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TOWA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.