TOWA Valuation

Is 6315 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6315 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6315 (¥1615) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5610.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6315 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6315?

Key metric: As 6315 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6315. This is calculated by dividing 6315's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6315's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
EarningsJP¥8.31b
Market CapJP¥121.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6315's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6315 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.5x
6871 Micronics Japan
17.9x28.7%JP¥145.7b
4369 Tri Chemical Laboratories
29.9x35.6%JP¥91.1b
6590 Shibaura Mechatronics
12.4x9.5%JP¥112.1b
6235 OptorunLtd
13.8x19.2%JP¥82.5b
6315 TOWA
14.6x20.8%JP¥121.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6315 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6315's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3856 Abalance
1.5xn/aUS$92.46m
No more companies available in this PE range
6315 14.6xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6315 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the JP Semiconductor industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6315's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6315 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6315 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6315 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,615.00
JP¥3,322.22
+105.7%
23.0%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥1,914.00
JP¥3,616.67
+89.0%
20.2%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥2,200.00
JP¥3,811.11
+73.2%
21.6%JP¥4,666.67JP¥2,300.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥2,480.00
JP¥4,433.33
+78.8%
4.9%JP¥4,666.67JP¥4,066.67n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥2,660.00
JP¥4,527.78
+70.2%
5.4%JP¥4,833.33JP¥4,066.67n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥3,663.33
JP¥4,638.89
+26.6%
8.4%JP¥5,333.33JP¥4,066.67n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥3,973.33
JP¥4,155.56
+4.6%
16.5%JP¥5,333.33JP¥3,200.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥3,176.67
JP¥3,333.33
+4.9%
13.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,866.67n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥3,403.33
JP¥3,106.67
-8.7%
9.8%JP¥3,666.67JP¥2,866.67n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥3,486.67
JP¥3,106.67
-10.9%
9.8%JP¥3,666.67JP¥2,866.67n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥2,536.67
JP¥2,646.67
+4.3%
14.2%JP¥2,866.67JP¥1,900.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥2,376.67
JP¥2,550.00
+7.3%
15.5%JP¥2,866.67JP¥1,900.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥2,436.67
JP¥2,380.00
-2.3%
17.0%JP¥2,866.67JP¥1,900.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥1,663.33
JP¥1,606.67
-3.4%
12.1%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,333.33JP¥1,914.005
Oct ’24JP¥1,385.00
JP¥1,416.67
+2.3%
12.2%JP¥1,666.67JP¥1,200.00JP¥2,200.004
Sep ’24JP¥1,230.00
JP¥1,183.33
-3.8%
10.1%JP¥1,333.33JP¥1,000.00JP¥2,480.004
Aug ’24JP¥904.33
JP¥1,108.33
+22.6%
8.3%JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥2,660.004
Jul ’24JP¥853.67
JP¥1,011.11
+18.4%
1.6%JP¥1,033.33JP¥1,000.00JP¥3,663.333
Jun ’24JP¥820.00
JP¥1,011.11
+23.3%
1.6%JP¥1,033.33JP¥1,000.00JP¥3,973.333
May ’24JP¥685.00
JP¥988.89
+44.4%
15.2%JP¥1,200.00JP¥866.67JP¥3,176.673
Apr ’24JP¥698.00
JP¥988.89
+41.7%
15.2%JP¥1,200.00JP¥866.67JP¥3,403.333
Mar ’24JP¥662.33
JP¥1,050.00
+58.5%
14.3%JP¥1,200.00JP¥900.00JP¥3,486.672
Feb ’24JP¥644.33
JP¥1,100.00
+70.7%
18.2%JP¥1,300.00JP¥900.00JP¥2,536.672
Jan ’24JP¥563.33
JP¥1,100.00
+95.3%
18.2%JP¥1,300.00JP¥900.00JP¥2,376.672
Dec ’23JP¥688.00
JP¥1,100.00
+59.9%
18.2%JP¥1,300.00JP¥900.00JP¥2,436.672
Nov ’23JP¥595.00
JP¥934.44
+57.0%
40.6%JP¥1,400.00JP¥470.00JP¥1,663.333

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies