The board of NPC Incorporated (TSE:6255) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥10.00 per share on the 1st of December. This makes the dividend yield 1.3%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
NPC's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. However, NPC's earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 15.3%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 14% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
See our latest analysis for NPC
NPC's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
NPC has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥2.00 in 2018 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥10.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 26% a year over that time. NPC has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that NPC has been growing its earnings per share at 23% a year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.
We Really Like NPC's Dividend
Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think NPC might even raise payments in the future. Distributions are quite easily covered by earnings, which are also being converted to cash flows. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for NPC that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is NPC not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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