Stock Analysis

Disco Corporation's (TSE:6146) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings

TSE:6146
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The Disco Corporation (TSE:6146) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 76%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, Disco's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 52.5x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Disco certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Disco

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6146 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Disco's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Disco's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Disco's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 120% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.5% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Disco is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Disco's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Disco maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Disco you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Disco. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.