Stock Analysis

Joshin Denki (TSE:8173) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥100.00

TSE:8173
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Joshin Denki Co., Ltd. (TSE:8173) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 26th of June to ¥100.00. This takes the dividend yield to 4.5%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

Check out our latest analysis for Joshin Denki

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Joshin Denki's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last dividend made up quite a large portion of free cash flows, and this was made worse by the lack of free cash flows. This is a pretty unsustainable practice, and could be risky if continued for the long term.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 10.9% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 103%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
TSE:8173 Historic Dividend March 12th 2025

Joshin Denki Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥32.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥100.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 12% over that duration. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, things aren't all that rosy. Joshin Denki's EPS has fallen by approximately 11% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Joshin Denki's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 5 warning signs for Joshin Denki (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Joshin Denki not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.