Stock Analysis

We Think ZOZO (TSE:3092) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that ZOZO, Inc. (TSE:3092) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is ZOZO's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ZOZO had JP¥20.2b in debt in June 2025; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥36.3b in cash, so it actually has JP¥16.1b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:3092 Debt to Equity History September 8th 2025

How Strong Is ZOZO's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ZOZO had liabilities of JP¥68.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥11.1b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥36.3b and JP¥53.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast JP¥10.3b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that ZOZO's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the JP¥1.24t company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, ZOZO boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

View our latest analysis for ZOZO

The good news is that ZOZO has increased its EBIT by 9.3% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ZOZO's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. ZOZO may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, ZOZO produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that ZOZO has net cash of JP¥16.1b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't think ZOZO's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with ZOZO .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ZOZO might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.