Stock Analysis

Komehyo Holdings Co.,Ltd. (TSE:2780) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 25% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

TSE:2780
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Komehyo Holdings Co.,Ltd. (TSE:2780) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 38%, which is great even in a bull market.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Komehyo HoldingsLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 24x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Komehyo HoldingsLtd has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Komehyo HoldingsLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:2780 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Komehyo HoldingsLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Komehyo HoldingsLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.1% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 11%.

With this information, we are not surprised that Komehyo HoldingsLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Komehyo HoldingsLtd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Komehyo HoldingsLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Komehyo HoldingsLtd (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Komehyo HoldingsLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.