The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Sanyodo Holdings Inc (TYO:3058) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Sanyodo Holdings
What Is Sanyodo Holdings's Debt?
As you can see below, Sanyodo Holdings had JP¥2.56b of debt at December 2020, down from JP¥3.08b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥3.83b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥1.28b.
A Look At Sanyodo Holdings' Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sanyodo Holdings had liabilities of JP¥8.59b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥3.15b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥3.83b and JP¥360.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥7.55b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's JP¥6.64b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that Sanyodo Holdings has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.
Better yet, Sanyodo Holdings grew its EBIT by 97,945% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sanyodo Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Sanyodo Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Sanyodo Holdings recorded free cash flow of 31% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing up
Although Sanyodo Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of JP¥1.28b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 97,945% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Sanyodo Holdings's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Sanyodo Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TSE:3058
Sanyodo Holdings
Sells and rents books, magazines, video and music software, game software, and stationery and miscellaneous goods in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.