Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Heiwa Real Estate (TSE:8803) Is Using Debt Extensively

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Heiwa Real Estate Co., Ltd. (TSE:8803) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Heiwa Real Estate's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2025, Heiwa Real Estate had JP¥248.3b of debt, up from JP¥223.1b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had JP¥20.4b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥227.9b.

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TSE:8803 Debt to Equity History October 14th 2025

A Look At Heiwa Real Estate's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Heiwa Real Estate had liabilities of JP¥38.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥270.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥20.4b and JP¥3.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥284.1b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the JP¥152.3b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Heiwa Real Estate would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

Check out our latest analysis for Heiwa Real Estate

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Heiwa Real Estate's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 11.8 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 9.3 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Our best guess is that the company does indeed have significant debt obligations. Importantly, Heiwa Real Estate grew its EBIT by 43% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Heiwa Real Estate's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Heiwa Real Estate saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Heiwa Real Estate's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Heiwa Real Estate to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Heiwa Real Estate (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heiwa Real Estate might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.