Stock Analysis

Kasumigaseki Capital Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3498) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 25% Slump

TSE:3498
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Kasumigaseki Capital Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3498) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 217% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may still consider Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 54.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:3498 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 19th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 2,329% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 77% per year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.7% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd's P/E

Even after such a strong price drop, Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd (3 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.