Stock Analysis

Nomura Real Estate Holdings (TSE:3231) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Nomura Real Estate Holdings, Inc. (TSE:3231) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

How Much Debt Does Nomura Real Estate Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2025 Nomura Real Estate Holdings had debt of JP¥1.57t, up from JP¥1.29t in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥132.9b, its net debt is less, at about JP¥1.44t.

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TSE:3231 Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2025

How Strong Is Nomura Real Estate Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nomura Real Estate Holdings had liabilities of JP¥518.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥1.39t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥132.9b and JP¥24.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥1.75t.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the JP¥803.1b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Nomura Real Estate Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

View our latest analysis for Nomura Real Estate Holdings

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 10.3 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 7.4 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Nomura Real Estate Holdings grew its EBIT by 5.1% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nomura Real Estate Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Nomura Real Estate Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Nomura Real Estate Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Nomura Real Estate Holdings has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Nomura Real Estate Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nomura Real Estate Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.