Stock Analysis

Mochida Pharmaceutical's (TSE:4534) Dividend Will Be ¥40.00

TSE:4534
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The board of Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TSE:4534) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 1st of July, with investors receiving ¥40.00 per share. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 2.4%.

View our latest analysis for Mochida Pharmaceutical

Mochida Pharmaceutical's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 96% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. This high of a dividend payment could start to put pressure on the balance sheet in the future.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 143.8% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 39% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

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TSE:4534 Historic Dividend March 22nd 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥67.50 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥80.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 1.7% per annum over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Mochida Pharmaceutical's EPS has fallen by approximately 19% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

We're Not Big Fans Of Mochida Pharmaceutical's Dividend

In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company's earnings aren't high enough to be making such big distributions, and it isn't backed up by strong growth or consistency either. Overall, the dividend is not reliable enough to make this a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Mochida Pharmaceutical (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about. Is Mochida Pharmaceutical not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.