Stock Analysis

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4516) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

TSE:4516
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With its stock down 11% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Nippon Shinyaku (TSE:4516). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Nippon Shinyaku's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

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How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nippon Shinyaku is:

12% = JP¥30b ÷ JP¥248b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every ¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ¥0.12.

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Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Nippon Shinyaku's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To start with, Nippon Shinyaku's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.4%. This probably laid the ground for Nippon Shinyaku's moderate 8.2% net income growth seen over the past five years.

As a next step, we compared Nippon Shinyaku's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 6.9%.

past-earnings-growth
TSE:4516 Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Nippon Shinyaku is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Nippon Shinyaku Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 32% (implying that the company retains 68% of its profits), it seems that Nippon Shinyaku is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Additionally, Nippon Shinyaku has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Nippon Shinyaku's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.