Kohjin Bio Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:177A) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
There wouldn't be many who think Kohjin Bio Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:177A) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.2x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Japan is similar at about 13x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Recent times have been advantageous for Kohjin Bio as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
View our latest analysis for Kohjin Bio
How Is Kohjin Bio's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kohjin Bio would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 22% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 8.8% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we find it concerning that Kohjin Bio is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Kohjin Bio's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Kohjin Bio currently trades on a higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Kohjin Bio is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kohjin Bio might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:177A
Kohjin Bio
Manufactures and sells animal blood, sera, tissue culture media, agar media for microorganism tests, in-vitro diagnostic agents, and cosmetics.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.
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