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Take Care Before Jumping Onto and factory,inc. (TSE:7035) Even Though It's 28% Cheaper
and factory,inc. (TSE:7035) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 32% share price drop.
After such a large drop in price, when close to half the companies operating in Japan's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may consider and factoryinc as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for and factoryinc
How and factoryinc Has Been Performing
and factoryinc certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on and factoryinc's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as and factoryinc's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 75% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 71% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing the recent medium-term upward revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for contraction of 2.2% shows it's a great look while it lasts.
In light of this, it's quite peculiar that and factoryinc's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.
What Does and factoryinc's P/S Mean For Investors?
The southerly movements of and factoryinc's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Upon analysing the past data, we see it is unexpected that and factoryinc is currently trading at a lower P/S than the rest of the industry given that its revenue growth in the past three-year years is exceeding expectations in a challenging industry. One assumption would be that there are some underlying risks to revenue that are keeping the P/S from rising to match the its strong performance. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to stay its recent course and swim against the current of the broader industry turmoil. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for and factoryinc that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of and factoryinc's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7035
and factoryinc
Engages in the development and operation of smartphone apps.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.