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Earnings Tell The Story For Kamakura Shinsho, Ltd. (TSE:6184) As Its Stock Soars 25%
Despite an already strong run, Kamakura Shinsho, Ltd. (TSE:6184) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 35% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, Kamakura Shinsho's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for Kamakura Shinsho, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this good earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Kamakura Shinsho
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kamakura Shinsho will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Kamakura Shinsho's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kamakura Shinsho would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 6.4% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 94% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Kamakura Shinsho is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
What We Can Learn From Kamakura Shinsho's P/E?
Kamakura Shinsho's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Kamakura Shinsho maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Kamakura Shinsho (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kamakura Shinsho, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kamakura Shinsho might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6184
Kamakura Shinsho
Operates a portal site that provides information services related to end of life in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.