Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise giftee Inc.'s (TSE:4449) Revenues Pushing Shares 36% Higher

TSE:4449
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giftee Inc. (TSE:4449) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Japan's Interactive Media and Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may consider giftee as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for giftee

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4449 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 18th 2024

What Does giftee's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, giftee has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on giftee.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, giftee would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 35%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 97% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 29% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.4% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why giftee is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has lead to giftee's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that giftee maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Interactive Media and Services industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - giftee has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.