To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. So after glancing at the trends within Kufu Company Holdings (TSE:4376), we weren't too hopeful.
We've discovered 2 warning signs about Kufu Company Holdings. View them for free.Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Kufu Company Holdings, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.061 = JP¥813m ÷ (JP¥18b - JP¥5.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
So, Kufu Company Holdings has an ROCE of 6.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Interactive Media and Services industry average of 14%.
See our latest analysis for Kufu Company Holdings
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Kufu Company Holdings.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Kufu Company Holdings Tell Us?
In terms of Kufu Company Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 11% two years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last two years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Kufu Company Holdings to turn into a multi-bagger.
What We Can Learn From Kufu Company Holdings' ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last three years have experienced a 43% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Kufu Company Holdings does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.