Stock Analysis

CyberStep, Inc.'s (TSE:3810) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

TSE:3810
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CyberStep, Inc. (TSE:3810) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 35% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that CyberStep's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in Japan, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for CyberStep

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:3810 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

How Has CyberStep Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at CyberStep over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for CyberStep, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, CyberStep would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 35%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 73% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to decline by 0.09% over the next year, or less than the company's recent medium-term annualised revenue decline.

In light of this, it's somewhat peculiar that CyberStep's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. With revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. There's potential for the P/S to fall to lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth, which would be difficult to do with the current industry outlook.

The Bottom Line On CyberStep's P/S

CyberStep's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of CyberStep revealed its sharp three-year contraction in revenue isn't impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given the industry is set to shrink less severely. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. We're also cautious about the company's ability to stay its recent medium-term course and resist even greater pain to its business from the broader industry turmoil. This would place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - CyberStep has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.