Stock Analysis

Has GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc.'s (TSE:3765) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

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TSE:3765

Most readers would already be aware that GungHo Online Entertainment's (TSE:3765) stock increased significantly by 8.3% over the past month. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to GungHo Online Entertainment's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for GungHo Online Entertainment

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GungHo Online Entertainment is:

11% = JP¥16b ÷ JP¥150b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every ¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ¥0.11 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of GungHo Online Entertainment's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

At first glance, GungHo Online Entertainment seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 6.8% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for GungHo Online Entertainment in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 8.9% over the last few years.

TSE:3765 Past Earnings Growth December 24th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 3765? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is GungHo Online Entertainment Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

GungHo Online Entertainment has a low three-year median payout ratio of 9.8% (or a retention ratio of 90%) but the negligible earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention.

Moreover, GungHo Online Entertainment has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that GungHo Online Entertainment has some positive attributes. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. In addition, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that the company's earnings are expected to continue to shrink. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.