NEXON Co., Ltd.

TSE:3659 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.8t

NEXON Valuation

Is 3659 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3659 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3659 (¥2241.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3978.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3659 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3659?

Key metric: As 3659 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3659. This is calculated by dividing 3659's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3659's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.4x
EarningsJP¥60.93b
Market CapJP¥1.84t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3659's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3659 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41x
9766 Konami Group
29.8x7.3%JP¥2.0t
9697 Capcom
43.1x15.2%JP¥1.4t
9684 Square Enix Holdings
73.6x20.0%JP¥736.2b
3635 Koei Tecmo Holdings
17.4x-1.1%JP¥573.6b
3659 NEXON
30.4x12.9%JP¥1.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3659 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the peer average (41x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3659's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3760 CAVE InteractiveLTD
3.5xn/aUS$38.95m
No more companies available in this PE range
3659 30.4xIndustry Avg. 28.6xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3659 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (28.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3659's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3659 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.4x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3659 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3659 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,241.50
JP¥3,120.67
+39.2%
20.2%JP¥4,870.00JP¥2,330.00n/a15
Dec ’25JP¥2,058.50
JP¥3,310.67
+60.8%
18.1%JP¥4,870.00JP¥2,500.00n/a15
Nov ’25JP¥2,611.00
JP¥3,761.33
+44.1%
19.7%JP¥5,500.00JP¥2,500.00n/a15
Oct ’25JP¥2,875.00
JP¥3,796.00
+32.0%
19.0%JP¥5,500.00JP¥2,500.00n/a15
Sep ’25JP¥2,860.00
JP¥3,766.88
+31.7%
18.7%JP¥5,500.00JP¥2,500.00n/a16
Aug ’25JP¥3,246.00
JP¥3,566.88
+9.9%
13.0%JP¥4,340.00JP¥2,500.00n/a16
Jul ’25JP¥2,933.00
JP¥3,411.25
+16.3%
11.0%JP¥4,340.00JP¥2,800.00n/a16
Jun ’25JP¥2,691.50
JP¥3,307.78
+22.9%
14.5%JP¥4,230.00JP¥2,000.00n/a18
May ’25JP¥2,516.00
JP¥3,302.78
+31.3%
13.8%JP¥4,230.00JP¥2,300.00n/a18
Apr ’25JP¥2,520.00
JP¥3,406.25
+35.2%
16.4%JP¥4,540.00JP¥2,300.00n/a16
Mar ’25JP¥2,553.00
JP¥3,487.50
+36.6%
16.2%JP¥4,540.00JP¥2,300.00n/a16
Feb ’25JP¥2,306.00
JP¥3,409.13
+47.8%
17.4%JP¥4,540.00JP¥2,300.00n/a16
Jan ’25JP¥2,569.50
JP¥3,660.63
+42.5%
13.9%JP¥4,540.00JP¥2,700.00n/a16
Dec ’24JP¥3,171.00
JP¥3,597.50
+13.5%
13.9%JP¥4,540.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,058.5016
Nov ’24JP¥2,815.00
JP¥3,447.50
+22.5%
12.5%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,611.0016
Oct ’24JP¥2,673.50
JP¥3,439.33
+28.6%
12.7%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,875.0015
Sep ’24JP¥2,958.50
JP¥3,392.00
+14.7%
12.5%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,860.0015
Aug ’24JP¥2,673.50
JP¥3,483.07
+30.3%
12.6%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥3,246.0014
Jul ’24JP¥2,747.00
JP¥3,511.64
+27.8%
11.5%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,933.0014
Jun ’24JP¥2,900.00
JP¥3,494.85
+20.5%
11.8%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,691.5013
May ’24JP¥3,100.00
JP¥3,429.46
+10.6%
12.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,516.0013
Apr ’24JP¥3,155.00
JP¥3,421.77
+8.5%
12.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,520.0013
Mar ’24JP¥2,950.00
JP¥3,406.38
+15.5%
12.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,553.0013
Feb ’24JP¥3,120.00
JP¥3,177.69
+1.8%
15.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,306.0013
Jan ’24JP¥2,962.00
JP¥3,085.38
+4.2%
14.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,569.5013
Dec ’23JP¥2,953.00
JP¥3,099.29
+5.0%
14.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,171.0014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 07:37
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NEXON Co., Ltd. is covered by 36 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Keiichi YoneshimaBarclays
Haruka MoriBarclays
Jay HanBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)