Konami Group Corporation

TSE:9766 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥2.0t

Konami Group Valuation

Is 9766 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9766 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9766 (¥14465) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥9644.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9766 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9766?

Key metric: As 9766 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9766. This is calculated by dividing 9766's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9766's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.5x
EarningsJP¥68.74b
Market CapJP¥1.96t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9766's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9766 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.8x
9697 Capcom
44.9x15.9%JP¥1.5t
3659 NEXON
27.8x15.4%JP¥1.7t
9684 Square Enix Holdings
67x20.5%JP¥672.6b
3635 Koei Tecmo Holdings
15.7x-1.1%JP¥518.0b
9766 Konami Group
28.5x6.7%JP¥2.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9766 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the peer average (38.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9766's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9766 28.5xIndustry Avg. 26.2xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9766 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (26.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9766's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9766 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9766 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9766 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥14,465.00
JP¥15,165.71
+4.8%
9.3%JP¥17,000.00JP¥11,600.00n/a14
Nov ’25JP¥13,775.00
JP¥14,930.00
+8.4%
9.1%JP¥17,000.00JP¥11,600.00n/a14
Oct ’25JP¥14,545.00
JP¥13,885.00
-4.5%
12.5%JP¥16,500.00JP¥11,200.00n/a14
Sep ’25JP¥13,145.00
JP¥13,092.67
-0.4%
10.2%JP¥15,470.00JP¥11,200.00n/a15
Aug ’25JP¥11,105.00
JP¥12,735.33
+14.7%
9.4%JP¥15,470.00JP¥11,000.00n/a15
Jul ’25JP¥11,475.00
JP¥12,206.00
+6.4%
14.5%JP¥15,470.00JP¥8,960.00n/a15
Jun ’25JP¥10,965.00
JP¥11,547.50
+5.3%
12.4%JP¥13,900.00JP¥8,960.00n/a16
May ’25JP¥9,446.00
JP¥10,702.67
+13.3%
12.3%JP¥12,000.00JP¥7,640.00n/a15
Apr ’25JP¥10,115.00
JP¥10,498.00
+3.8%
13.3%JP¥12,000.00JP¥7,640.00n/a15
Mar ’25JP¥10,255.00
JP¥9,905.00
-3.4%
12.8%JP¥12,000.00JP¥7,640.00n/a14
Feb ’25JP¥8,846.00
JP¥9,548.57
+7.9%
10.2%JP¥11,300.00JP¥7,640.00n/a14
Jan ’25JP¥7,383.00
JP¥8,862.67
+20.0%
13.9%JP¥10,500.00JP¥5,800.00n/a15
Dec ’24JP¥7,297.00
JP¥8,890.63
+21.8%
13.7%JP¥10,500.00JP¥5,800.00n/a16
Nov ’24JP¥7,715.00
JP¥8,918.13
+15.6%
13.2%JP¥10,500.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥13,775.0016
Oct ’24JP¥7,887.00
JP¥8,861.88
+12.4%
13.3%JP¥10,500.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥14,545.0016
Sep ’24JP¥8,473.00
JP¥8,818.13
+4.1%
12.8%JP¥10,000.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥13,145.0016
Aug ’24JP¥8,000.00
JP¥8,263.75
+3.3%
14.5%JP¥9,800.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥11,105.0016
Jul ’24JP¥7,521.00
JP¥8,122.00
+8.0%
15.7%JP¥9,800.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥11,475.0015
Jun ’24JP¥7,510.00
JP¥7,585.33
+1.0%
16.4%JP¥9,300.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥10,965.0015
May ’24JP¥6,650.00
JP¥7,058.67
+6.1%
11.1%JP¥8,700.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥9,446.0015
Apr ’24JP¥6,070.00
JP¥7,038.67
+16.0%
11.0%JP¥8,700.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥10,115.0015
Mar ’24JP¥6,040.00
JP¥7,512.00
+24.4%
14.1%JP¥9,400.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥10,255.0015
Feb ’24JP¥6,310.00
JP¥7,909.38
+25.3%
11.1%JP¥9,400.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥8,846.0016
Jan ’24JP¥5,970.00
JP¥8,028.13
+34.5%
10.8%JP¥9,400.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥7,383.0016
Dec ’23JP¥6,420.00
JP¥8,170.00
+27.3%
11.7%JP¥10,000.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥7,297.0015
Nov ’23JP¥6,720.00
JP¥8,703.33
+29.5%
9.4%JP¥10,500.00JP¥7,460.00JP¥7,715.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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