Square Enix Holdings Co., Ltd.

TSE:9684 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥725.4b

Square Enix Holdings Valuation

Is 9684 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9684 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9684 (¥6038) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥4464.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9684 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9684?

Key metric: As 9684 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9684. This is calculated by dividing 9684's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9684's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio72.2x
EarningsJP¥10.04b
Market CapJP¥725.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9684's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9684 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29x
3635 Koei Tecmo Holdings
15.7x-1.1%JP¥517.3b
9697 Capcom
42.6x16.3%JP¥1.4t
9766 Konami Group
28.3x6.7%JP¥2.0t
3659 NEXON
29.3x15.4%JP¥1.8t
9684 Square Enix Holdings
72.2x20.5%JP¥725.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9684 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.2x) compared to the peer average (29x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9684's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3760 CAVE InteractiveLTD
3.7xn/aUS$41.69m
No more companies available in this PE range
9684 72.2xIndustry Avg. 27.4xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9684 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.2x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (27.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9684's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9684 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio72.2x
Fair PE Ratio28.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9684 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9684 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥6,038.00
JP¥5,742.86
-4.9%
11.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,460.00n/a14
Nov ’25JP¥5,982.00
JP¥5,487.50
-8.3%
9.7%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,460.00n/a12
Oct ’25JP¥5,687.00
JP¥5,423.33
-4.6%
9.6%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,460.00n/a12
Sep ’25JP¥5,387.00
JP¥5,457.14
+1.3%
11.0%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,600.00n/a14
Aug ’25JP¥4,958.00
JP¥5,676.00
+14.5%
15.5%JP¥7,400.00JP¥4,600.00n/a15
Jul ’25JP¥4,858.00
JP¥5,813.33
+19.7%
16.6%JP¥7,400.00JP¥4,600.00n/a15
Jun ’25JP¥4,709.00
JP¥6,606.25
+40.3%
15.2%JP¥8,300.00JP¥4,600.00n/a16
May ’25JP¥6,012.00
JP¥7,004.00
+16.5%
10.1%JP¥8,300.00JP¥5,510.00n/a15
Apr ’25JP¥5,723.00
JP¥7,004.00
+22.4%
10.1%JP¥8,300.00JP¥5,510.00n/a15
Mar ’25JP¥6,383.00
JP¥6,905.71
+8.2%
10.9%JP¥8,500.00JP¥5,510.00n/a14
Feb ’25JP¥5,704.00
JP¥6,605.71
+15.8%
13.3%JP¥8,500.00JP¥5,500.00n/a14
Jan ’25JP¥5,063.00
JP¥6,518.67
+28.8%
13.9%JP¥8,500.00JP¥5,400.00n/a15
Dec ’24JP¥5,135.00
JP¥6,686.25
+30.2%
15.8%JP¥9,300.00JP¥5,400.00n/a16
Nov ’24JP¥5,013.00
JP¥6,755.00
+34.7%
15.7%JP¥9,300.00JP¥5,400.00JP¥5,982.0016
Oct ’24JP¥5,125.00
JP¥6,918.67
+35.0%
14.5%JP¥9,300.00JP¥5,510.00JP¥5,687.0015
Sep ’24JP¥5,557.00
JP¥7,212.00
+29.8%
17.4%JP¥10,400.00JP¥5,510.00JP¥5,387.0015
Aug ’24JP¥6,610.00
JP¥7,701.33
+16.5%
13.2%JP¥10,400.00JP¥6,300.00JP¥4,958.0015
Jul ’24JP¥6,688.00
JP¥7,788.00
+16.4%
13.3%JP¥10,400.00JP¥6,300.00JP¥4,858.0015
Jun ’24JP¥6,270.00
JP¥7,668.00
+22.3%
12.4%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,300.00JP¥4,709.0015
May ’24JP¥6,650.00
JP¥7,646.67
+15.0%
12.8%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,200.00JP¥6,012.0015
Apr ’24JP¥6,360.00
JP¥7,620.00
+19.8%
13.2%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,200.00JP¥5,723.0015
Mar ’24JP¥6,020.00
JP¥7,613.33
+26.5%
13.5%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,200.00JP¥6,383.0015
Feb ’24JP¥6,060.00
JP¥7,724.38
+27.5%
14.0%JP¥9,200.00JP¥6,200.00JP¥5,704.0016
Jan ’24JP¥6,130.00
JP¥7,755.63
+26.5%
14.1%JP¥9,200.00JP¥6,200.00JP¥5,063.0016
Dec ’23JP¥6,200.00
JP¥7,726.00
+24.6%
14.6%JP¥9,200.00JP¥6,200.00JP¥5,135.0015
Nov ’23JP¥6,710.00
JP¥7,658.00
+14.1%
14.6%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,120.00JP¥5,013.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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