Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.

TSE:3635 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥517.3b

Koei Tecmo Holdings Valuation

Is 3635 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3635 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3635 (¥1643.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1514.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3635 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3635?

Key metric: As 3635 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3635. This is calculated by dividing 3635's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3635's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.7x
EarningsJP¥32.97b
Market CapJP¥517.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3635's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3635 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.1x
9684 Square Enix Holdings
72.2x20.5%JP¥725.4b
2121 MIXI
24.2x18.1%JP¥196.7b
3765 GungHo Online Entertainment
13.6x-13.1%JP¥172.2b
9697 Capcom
42.6x16.3%JP¥1.4t
3635 Koei Tecmo Holdings
15.7x-1.1%JP¥517.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3635 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (38.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3635's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3760 CAVE InteractiveLTD
3.7xn/aUS$41.69m
No more companies available in this PE range
3635 15.7xIndustry Avg. 27.4xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3635 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (27.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3635's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3635 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.7x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3635 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3635 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,643.50
JP¥1,554.29
-5.4%
16.1%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,240.00n/a7
Nov ’25JP¥1,576.50
JP¥1,528.57
-3.0%
14.5%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,240.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥1,643.50
JP¥1,547.14
-5.9%
13.6%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,270.00n/a7
Sep ’25JP¥1,629.00
JP¥1,547.14
-5.0%
13.6%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,270.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥1,430.00
JP¥1,691.25
+18.3%
25.4%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,270.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥1,378.00
JP¥1,725.00
+25.2%
24.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,370.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥1,368.00
JP¥1,775.71
+29.8%
23.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥1,356.00
JP¥2,141.43
+57.9%
21.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥1,613.50
JP¥2,141.43
+32.7%
21.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥1,825.00
JP¥2,141.43
+17.3%
21.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥1,787.00
JP¥2,141.43
+19.8%
21.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥1,608.50
JP¥2,290.00
+42.4%
16.7%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,770.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥1,770.00
JP¥2,375.71
+34.2%
16.7%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,770.00n/a7
Nov ’24JP¥1,956.50
JP¥2,482.86
+26.9%
17.9%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,770.00JP¥1,576.507
Oct ’24JP¥2,125.50
JP¥2,647.14
+24.5%
17.0%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,770.00JP¥1,643.507
Sep ’24JP¥2,278.00
JP¥2,647.14
+16.2%
17.0%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,770.00JP¥1,629.007
Aug ’24JP¥2,348.00
JP¥2,661.67
+13.4%
18.4%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,770.00JP¥1,430.006
Jul ’24JP¥2,485.50
JP¥2,636.67
+6.1%
17.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,770.00JP¥1,378.006
Jun ’24JP¥2,345.00
JP¥2,670.00
+13.9%
17.9%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,770.00JP¥1,368.006
May ’24JP¥2,448.00
JP¥2,638.33
+7.8%
19.1%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,770.00JP¥1,356.006
Apr ’24JP¥2,388.00
JP¥2,551.67
+6.9%
19.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,613.506
Mar ’24JP¥2,268.00
JP¥2,581.67
+13.8%
18.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,825.006
Feb ’24JP¥2,344.00
JP¥2,638.57
+12.6%
17.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,787.007
Jan ’24JP¥2,392.00
JP¥2,595.00
+8.5%
18.4%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,608.506
Dec ’23JP¥2,403.00
JP¥2,646.00
+10.1%
19.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,770.005
Nov ’23JP¥2,306.00
JP¥2,536.00
+10.0%
23.9%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,956.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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