Neturen Co., Ltd. (TSE:5976) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 8th of December to ¥33.00. This will take the annual payment to 5.8% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
Neturen's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 159% of what it was earning. This situation certainly isn't ideal, and could place significant strain on the balance sheet if it continues.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 54.2% if the company continues along the path it has been on recently. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 79%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
View our latest analysis for Neturen
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥14.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥67.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Neturen Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Neturen has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 54% per annum. Strong earnings is nice to see, but unless this can be sustained on minimal reinvestment of profits, we would question whether dividends will follow suit.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Neturen's payments are rock solid. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Neturen you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant. Is Neturen not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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