Why You Might Be Interested In Nippon Steel Corporation (TSE:5401) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Simply Wall St

It looks like Nippon Steel Corporation (TSE:5401) is about to go ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade can take two business days or more to settle. In other words, investors can purchase Nippon Steel's shares before the 28th of March in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 24th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥80.00 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of JP¥160 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Nippon Steel has a trailing yield of approximately 4.6% on its current stock price of JP¥3473.00. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Fortunately Nippon Steel's payout ratio is modest, at just 34% of profit. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Nippon Steel generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Over the last year it paid out 61% of its free cash flow as dividends, within the usual range for most companies.

It's positive to see that Nippon Steel's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

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TSE:5401 Historic Dividend March 24th 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're encouraged by the steady growth at Nippon Steel, with earnings per share up 9.8% on average over the last five years. Decent historical earnings per share growth suggests Nippon Steel has been effectively growing value for shareholders. However, it's now paying out more than half its earnings as dividends. If management lifts the payout ratio further, we'd take this as a tacit signal that the company's growth prospects are slowing.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the last 10 years, Nippon Steel has lifted its dividend by approximately 10% a year on average. We're glad to see dividends rising alongside earnings over a number of years, which may be a sign the company intends to share the growth with shareholders.

To Sum It Up

Has Nippon Steel got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Earnings per share growth has been modest, and it's interesting that Nippon Steel is paying out less than half of its earnings and more than half its cash flow to shareholders in the form of dividends. Overall, it's not a bad combination, but we feel that there are likely more attractive dividend prospects out there.

In light of that, while Nippon Steel has an appealing dividend, it's worth knowing the risks involved with this stock. To help with this, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Nippon Steel that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.